La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Panserraikos FC v Aris Thessaloniki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panserraikos FC (Local)
Predicción 20.86%4.79momio equitativo
EV +4.32%
Ventaja +0.864%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.36%20.86%21.00%22.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.494.505.0025.64%22.26%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)
Predicción 50.16%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.86%50.17%49.99%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.791.811.9560.24%55.91%55.25%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.98%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.618%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%28.97%29.01%31.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.203.203.4035.71%31.27%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +4.32%E +0.864%K +1.08%G +0.047% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV +2.24%E +0.456%K +0.573%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -16.23%E -9.72%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV +2.24%E +0.456%K +0.573%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -16.23%E -9.72%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV +2.24%E +0.456%K +0.573%G +0.013% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -16.23%E -9.72%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +0.149%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.31%EV -16.73%E -10.08%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -2.93%E -0.875%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -0.894%E -0.188%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -0.894%E -0.188%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.13%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.64%EV -3.80%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.13%EV -6.70%E -3.60%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.64%EV -3.80%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -9.21%E -5.09%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.94%E -0.412%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -9.21%E -5.09%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.48%E -0.436%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.02%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Suprabets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.02%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -7.71%E -4.19%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.05%EV -6.99%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:23 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -4.02%E -0.875%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:18 |
| Pinnacle | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.03%EV -4.65%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.30%EV -2.19%E -1.12%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.11%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -5.70%E -3.03%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -9.24%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.98%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -9.31%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -9.66%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -6.20%E -3.32%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.61%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -10.28%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.49%EV -12.22%E -6.98%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -8.71%E -4.79%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.28%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.20%E -3.89%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -12.37%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -8.21%E -4.48%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.01%EV -14.46%E -3.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.72%E -7.98%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%EV -13.65%E -4.58%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.95%EV -14.46%E -3.53%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.94%EV -13.72%E -7.98%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -14.52%E -4.92%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.54%E -4.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.52%EV -10.72%E -6.02%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -18.63%E -4.78%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.71%E -5.40%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.43%EV -18.63%E -4.78%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 49.75%EV -15.73%E -9.36%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.82%EV -15.97%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Kalshi | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |