Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio v Panserraikos FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 49.70%2.01fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%49.90%49.69%52.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.811.831.9260.24%55.20%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panserraikos FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.13%4.73fair odd
EV +7.53%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.139%

assuming max odds 5.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.67%20.85%21.04%22.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.404.405.0925.32%22.70%22.73%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV -0.825%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.25%29.27%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.163.153.4036.36%31.65%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 49.70%; Panserraikos FC (Visit): 21.13%; Draw: 29.17%. For Panserraikos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.15%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.89%EV +7.53%E +1.48%K +1.84%G +0.139%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -6.37%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.00%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV +5.63%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.079%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.00%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV +5.63%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.079%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -9.54%E -5.24%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +5.63%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.079%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.02%EV -9.28%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV +3.52%E +0.718%K +0.902%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +1.41%E +0.293%K +0.370%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV +0.350%E +0.074%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.51%E -8.44%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -8.10%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:44
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -9.16%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -0.825%E -0.243%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.26%EV -17.49%E -10.54%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.40%EV -9.16%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -19.78%E -7.19%K -11.31%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -12.02%E -6.79%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -10.21%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 16:48
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 08:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.40%EV -13.02%E -7.44%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -15.99%E -5.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-22 16:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.33%EV -15.01%E -8.78%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -13.95%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -8.54%E -4.64%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.03%E -6.16%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.03%E -3.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-22 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:54
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.63%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -14.01%E -8.10%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -15.99%E -5.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-22 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%1.0%2026-03-22 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.81%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.87%1.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%3.1%2026-03-22 16:50