La escuela de los momios

Panetolikos Agrinio v Panserraikos FC

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Predicción 49.70%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%49.90%49.69%52.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.811.831.9260.24%55.20%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panserraikos FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.13%4.73momio equitativo
EV +7.53%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.139%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.67%20.85%21.04%22.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.404.405.0925.32%22.70%22.73%19.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.825%
Ventaja -0.243%
Kelly -0.344%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.25%29.27%30.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.163.153.4036.36%31.65%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.15%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.89%EV +7.53%E +1.48%K +1.84%G +0.139%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -6.37%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 16:45
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.00%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV +5.63%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.079%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.00%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV +5.63%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.079%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -9.54%E -5.24%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +5.63%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.079%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.02%EV -9.28%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:45
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV +3.52%E +0.718%K +0.902%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV +1.41%E +0.293%K +0.370%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV +0.350%E +0.074%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -12.52%E -7.11%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -2.82%E -0.613%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -2.28%E -0.682%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:49
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 16:35
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.25%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.51%E -8.44%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.93%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.04%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -8.10%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:44
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:44
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:44
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.52%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:44
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -9.16%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -0.825%E -0.243%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.26%EV -17.49%E -10.54%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.40%EV -9.16%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -19.78%E -7.19%K -11.31%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -12.02%E -6.79%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -10.21%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 16:48
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:45
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:40
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.53%E -5.85%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 08:50
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.40%EV -13.02%E -7.44%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -15.99%E -5.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-22 16:44
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.33%EV -15.01%E -8.78%K -21.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -11.27%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -13.95%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 16:50
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -7.55%E -4.06%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -8.54%E -4.64%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -5.20%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.03%E -6.16%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -13.38%E -3.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.03%E -3.62%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-22 16:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.66%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:54
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.63%EV -13.51%E -7.77%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -14.01%E -8.10%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -15.49%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -15.99%E -5.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-22 16:54
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -16.55%E -4.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%1.0%2026-03-22 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.81%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.87%1.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%3.1%2026-03-22 16:50