Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio v Atromitos Athens

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 35.52%2.82fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%35.44%35.49%36.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.632.632.7641.32%38.05%38.02%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atromitos Athens (Visit)

Prediction 32.75%3.05fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%32.89%32.76%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.712.702.9841.15%36.97%37.04%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.74%3.15fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%31.67%31.75%33.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.932.953.1038.02%34.11%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 35.52%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 32.75%; Draw: 31.74%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.716%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -2.41%E -0.808%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.62%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.716%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -2.41%E -0.808%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.62%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -2.41%E -0.808%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.42%EV -5.75%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -18.13%E -7.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -18.13%E -7.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -18.13%E -7.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -5.17%E -1.94%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:49
Suprabets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.53%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.66%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -1.62%E -0.522%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:30
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.88%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.20%EV -18.78%E -7.57%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.97%EV -6.59%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.68%EV -10.51%E -3.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.90%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.86%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -1.62%E -0.522%K -0.771%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 15:01
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.25%EV -20.42%E -8.40%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.86%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -16.54%E -6.29%K -10.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.94%EV -12.99%E -5.30%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.61%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -12.99%E -5.30%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -13.22%E -4.99%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.37%EV -14.05%E -5.81%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.70%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-04 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.97%1.8%2026-04-04 16:45
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-04-04 16:45