La escuela de los momios

Panetolikos Agrinio v Atromitos Athens

Inicio: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Predicción 35.52%2.82momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.56%35.44%35.49%36.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.422.632.632.7641.32%38.05%38.02%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atromitos Athens (Visitante)

Predicción 32.75%3.05momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.76%32.89%32.76%36.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.432.712.702.9841.15%36.97%37.04%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.74%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.771%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.85%31.67%31.75%33.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.932.953.1038.02%34.11%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.716%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -2.41%E -0.808%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.62%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -1.98%E -0.716%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.40%EV -2.41%E -0.808%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.62%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.33%E -0.848%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -16.49%E -6.47%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -2.41%E -0.808%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.42%EV -5.75%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -18.13%E -7.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -18.13%E -7.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -18.13%E -7.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -3.21%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -5.17%E -1.94%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:49
Suprabets2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.53%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.66%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:50
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -1.62%E -0.522%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:30
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:30
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.88%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.20%EV -18.78%E -7.57%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.97%EV -6.59%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.68%EV -10.51%E -3.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:34
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.90%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.86%EV -6.01%E -2.09%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:49
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 16:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:30
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -1.62%E -0.522%K -0.771%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 15:01
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 16:45
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -7.66%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.25%EV -20.42%E -8.40%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.86%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.30%E -2.97%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -16.54%E -6.29%K -10.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.94%EV -12.99%E -5.30%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.61%EV -11.58%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:34
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -12.99%E -5.30%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -13.22%E -4.99%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:30
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.37%EV -14.05%E -5.81%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -14.85%E -5.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.70%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-04 16:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.97%1.8%2026-04-04 16:45
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.0%2026-04-04 16:45