Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 18:30 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 3–1 Asteras Tripolis

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 32.13%3.11fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.61%32.25%32.04%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.782.803.0140.32%36.01%35.71%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Asteras Tripolis (Visit)

Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.937%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%36.74%36.77%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.532.502.6542.92%39.59%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.07%3.22fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.83%31.01%31.18%32.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.16%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 32.13%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 36.80%; Draw: 31.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.26%EV -4.31%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:14
Suprabets🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.50%EV -4.56%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 18:16
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 18:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:19
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:18
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.85%EV -7.64%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.25%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:19
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 18:14
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:14
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.47%EV -7.73%E -2.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:24
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.14%E -0.679%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:14
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.27%EV -14.26%E -6.12%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.44%EV -8.97%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 18:20
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.04%EV -11.31%E -4.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -2.14%E -0.679%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.04%EV -11.31%E -4.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -2.14%E -0.679%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:14
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.00%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -16.12%E -5.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-23 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.18%EV -14.20%E -5.32%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -14.57%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-23 18:24
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -16.45%E -6.33%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.46%EV -20.31%E -8.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.46%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.08%EV -14.57%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-23 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%0.0%2026-08-23 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-08-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-08-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-08-23 18:25
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.6%2026-08-23 18:14