Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis

Inicio: 2026-08-23 18:30 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 3–1 Asteras Tripolis

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Predicción 32.13%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.61%32.25%32.04%34.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.782.803.0140.32%36.01%35.71%33.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)

Predicción 36.80%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%36.74%36.77%38.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.332.532.502.6542.92%39.59%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 31.07%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.679%
Kelly -0.995%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.83%31.01%31.18%32.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.16%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 32.13%; Asteras Tripolis (Visitante): 36.80%; Empate: 31.07%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.22. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.15, con un valor esperado de -2.14%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.26%EV -4.31%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:14
Suprabets🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.50%EV -4.56%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 18:16
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.20%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 18:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:19
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 18:18
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.85%EV -7.64%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.25%EV -8.04%E -2.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:19
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 18:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.53%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:14
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 18:14
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.45%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 18:14
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.77%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.95%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.47%EV -7.73%E -2.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 18:24
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.14%E -0.679%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:14
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.69%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.27%EV -14.26%E -6.12%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.44%EV -8.97%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 18:20
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.02%E -3.58%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.04%EV -11.31%E -4.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -2.14%E -0.679%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.04%EV -11.31%E -4.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -2.14%E -0.679%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:14
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:14
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.35%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -13.24%E -4.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.00%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.00%EV -16.12%E -5.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-23 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.18%EV -14.20%E -5.32%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -14.57%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-23 18:24
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:50
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -2.48%E -0.937%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 17:49
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -16.45%E -6.33%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.01%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -11.46%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.46%EV -20.31%E -8.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.46%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.08%EV -14.57%E -5.30%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-23 17:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 32.04%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%0.0%2026-08-23 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-08-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-08-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-08-23 18:25
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.6%2026-08-23 18:14