Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio v AE Kifisia FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 0–1 AE Kifisia FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 32.27%3.10fair odd
EV +0.670%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.316%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%32.32%32.15%33.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.803.1238.46%35.47%35.71%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.39%2.91fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.14%34.55%34.49%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.642.622.8544.44%37.94%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.34%3.00fair odd
EV +3.36%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.12%33.12%33.36%35.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.763.1040.00%36.06%36.23%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 32.27%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 34.39%; Draw: 33.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV +3.36%E +1.08%K +1.60%G +0.054%7.1%2026-05-02 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.14%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:59
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.89%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -3.97%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 10:30
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -1.98%E -0.696%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -1.98%E -0.696%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -15.14%E -5.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:55
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -15.14%E -5.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:55
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -15.46%E -5.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -15.46%E -5.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.77%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.29%EV -7.64%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 13:44
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV +0.670%E +0.215%K +0.316%G +0.002%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%EV -7.97%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -1.59%E -0.521%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -9.89%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -16.11%E -6.20%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -17.46%E -7.28%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-02 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -22.62%E -10.05%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-02 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:48
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.14%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -12.30%E -4.82%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.50%E -5.47%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -12.30%E -4.82%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.75%EV -4.74%E -1.71%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -10.64%E -3.97%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -1.91%E -0.629%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.37%EV -6.45%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -10.64%E -3.97%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:48
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -11.64%E -4.39%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.14%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.64%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.89%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.64%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 31.57%EV -12.24%E -4.50%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.76%EV -15.05%E -6.09%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.67%EV -14.98%E -5.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -16.64%E -6.66%K -11.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%1.0%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.45%2.9%2026-05-02 13:55