La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Panetolikos Agrinio v AE Kifisia FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)
Predicción 32.27%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.670%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.316%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.65%32.32%32.15%33.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.822.803.1238.46%35.47%35.71%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AE Kifisia FC (Visitante)
Predicción 34.39%2.91momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.696%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.14%34.55%34.49%38.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.642.622.8544.44%37.94%38.17%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.34%3.00momio equitativo
EV +3.36%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.12%33.12%33.36%35.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.763.1040.00%36.06%36.23%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV +3.36%E +1.08%K +1.60%G +0.054% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.14%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:59 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.89%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -3.97%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -1.98%E -0.696%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -1.98%E -0.696%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -15.14%E -5.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -15.14%E -5.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -15.46%E -5.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -15.46%E -5.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.77%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.29%EV -7.64%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 13:44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV +0.670%E +0.215%K +0.316%G +0.002% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%EV -7.97%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -1.59%E -0.521%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.06%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -9.89%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -16.11%E -6.20%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -17.46%E -7.28%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -22.62%E -10.05%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:48 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.14%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -12.30%E -4.82%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.50%E -5.47%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -12.30%E -4.82%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -9.98%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.75%EV -4.74%E -1.71%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -10.64%E -3.97%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Suprabets | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -1.91%E -0.629%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.37%EV -6.45%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.88%EV -10.64%E -3.97%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:48 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -11.64%E -4.39%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.14%E -2.65%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.64%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.89%E -3.78%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.64%E -4.83%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.57%EV -12.24%E -4.50%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 34.76%EV -15.05%E -6.09%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.67%EV -14.98%E -5.87%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -16.64%E -6.66%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.21% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.45% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |