Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos v Panetolikos Agrinio

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 63.01%1.59fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -10.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.72%63.05%62.89%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.441.441.5076.92%69.37%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit)

Prediction 14.12%7.08fair odd
EV +5.86%
Edge +0.782%
Kelly +0.902%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.28%14.10%14.28%15.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.596.607.5017.54%15.17%15.15%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%22.85%22.83%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.2627.78%25.11%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 63.01%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit): 14.12%; Draw: 22.87%. For Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.08. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.55%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV +5.86%E +0.782%K +0.902%G +0.053%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -2.78%E -0.655%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.55%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV +5.86%E +0.782%K +0.902%G +0.053%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -2.78%E -0.655%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +5.86%E +0.782%K +0.902%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.93%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:45
Suprabets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +1.63%E +0.226%K +0.263%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:38
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.01%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.45%EV +0.782%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.54%EV -2.55%E -0.599%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 18:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:45
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.74%EV -7.38%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.68%EV -3.31%E -0.483%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -5.07%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -4.72%E -0.700%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.72%E -0.700%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.43%E -0.810%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.84%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.84%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 18:54
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 18:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -18.09%E -13.91%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.40%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -9.66%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -9.64%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.78%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.55%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -11.78%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 18:49
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.55%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -11.78%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.25%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.49%EV -13.90%E -2.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -15.31%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -15.31%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.31%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.06%EV -12.42%E -8.93%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.62%EV -16.72%E -2.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.60%EV -13.68%E -9.98%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.54%EV -16.72%E -2.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 18:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44%EV -19.54%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-15 18:45
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.10%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-03-15 18:45