La escuela de los momios

Panathinaikos v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panathinaikos (Local)

Predicción 63.01%1.59momio equitativo
EV -5.48%
Ventaja -3.66%
Kelly -10.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.72%63.05%62.89%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.441.441.5076.92%69.37%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 14.12%7.08momio equitativo
EV +5.86%
Ventaja +0.782%
Kelly +0.902%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.28%14.10%14.28%15.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.596.607.5017.54%15.17%15.15%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.87%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.599%
Kelly -0.783%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.93%22.85%22.83%24.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.984.004.2627.78%25.11%25.00%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.55%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV +5.86%E +0.782%K +0.902%G +0.053%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -2.78%E -0.655%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.55%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV +5.86%E +0.782%K +0.902%G +0.053%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -2.78%E -0.655%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:20
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +5.86%E +0.782%K +0.902%G +0.053%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.93%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:45
Suprabets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +1.63%E +0.226%K +0.263%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:38
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.01%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.45%EV +0.782%E +0.109%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.54%EV -2.55%E -0.599%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 18:55
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.935%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 18:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 18:40
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:35
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -1.19%E -0.171%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:45
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.74%EV -7.38%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.68%EV -3.31%E -0.483%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -5.07%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:40
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -4.72%E -0.700%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.72%E -0.700%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.43%E -0.810%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 18:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.84%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.84%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 18:54
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 18:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:19
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 18:55
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -18.09%E -13.91%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.40%EV -11.16%E -7.91%K -27.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -9.66%E -1.51%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -9.64%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 18:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.78%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:40
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 62.55%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -11.78%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 18:49
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 62.55%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -11.78%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.25%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.49%EV -13.90%E -2.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -15.31%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.21%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -15.31%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 18:35
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.31%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.06%EV -12.42%E -8.93%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.62%EV -16.72%E -2.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.60%EV -13.68%E -9.98%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.54%EV -16.72%E -2.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -14.22%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.50%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 18:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -6.75%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.84%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.08%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44%EV -19.54%E -3.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-03-15 18:50
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-15 18:45
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.10%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.58%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-03-15 18:45