Language:English
Panathinaikos v OFI Crete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 68.91%1.45fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -12.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%68.82%69.00%70.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.341.351.3883.33%74.70%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
OFI Crete (Visit)
Prediction 11.01%9.08fair odd
EV +5.41%
Edge +0.565%
Kelly +0.631%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 9.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.00%11.10%10.93%12.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.128.009.5714.29%12.32%12.50%10.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.08%4.98fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +0.847%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.12%20.08%20.07%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.514.505.2025.00%22.16%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 68.91%; OFI Crete (Visit): 11.01%; Draw: 20.08%. For OFI Crete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.08. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.97%E -5.17%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -14.09%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +4.40%E +0.847%K +1.05%G +0.046% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.97%E -5.17%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -14.09%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +4.40%E +0.847%K +1.05%G +0.046% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.545%G +0.025% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -2.62%E -0.541%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.545%G +0.025% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -2.62%E -0.541%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.08%EV -9.73%E -7.43%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 15:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.80%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.07%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.545%G +0.025% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.42%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -0.871%E -0.097%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.37%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 9.57I 10.45%NM 10.00%EV +5.41%E +0.565%K +0.631%G +0.034% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.63%EV -6.84%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -6.97%E -5.17%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -0.871%E -0.097%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.75%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -0.871%E -0.097%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.95%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.84%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.58%EV -2.52%E -0.285%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -8.65%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.89%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.30%EV +0.231%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.07%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -11.11%E -8.61%K -38.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-04 15:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.39%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.23%EV -9.73%E -7.43%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.46%EV -14.09%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.35%EV -9.73%E -7.43%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.60%EV -22.90%E -3.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.26%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.17%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.91%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.02%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.41%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.57%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -15.67%E -3.73%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -15.67%E -3.73%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 68.84%EV -17.31%E -14.43%K -86.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.01%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.15%EV -17.68%E -4.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.23%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -19.69%E -4.92%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -22.90%E -3.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -19.69%E -4.92%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-04 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.18% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.18% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.18% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |