La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Panathinaikos v OFI Crete
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panathinaikos (Local)
Predicción 68.91%1.45momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -3.56%
Kelly -12.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.19%68.82%69.00%70.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.341.351.3883.33%74.70%74.07%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
OFI Crete (Visitante)
Predicción 11.01%9.08momio equitativo
EV +5.41%
Ventaja +0.565%
Kelly +0.631%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.00%11.10%10.93%12.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.128.009.5714.29%12.32%12.50%10.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.08%4.98momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +0.847%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.12%20.08%20.07%21.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.514.505.2025.00%22.16%22.22%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.97%E -5.17%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -14.09%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +4.40%E +0.847%K +1.05%G +0.046% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.97%E -5.17%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -14.09%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +4.40%E +0.847%K +1.05%G +0.046% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.545%G +0.025% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -2.62%E -0.541%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.545%G +0.025% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -2.62%E -0.541%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.08%EV -9.73%E -7.43%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 15:43 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.80%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.07%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.545%G +0.025% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.42%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -0.871%E -0.097%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.37%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 9.57I 10.45%NM 10.00%EV +5.41%E +0.565%K +0.631%G +0.034% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.63%EV -6.84%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -6.97%E -5.17%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -0.871%E -0.097%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.75%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -0.871%E -0.097%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.95%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.84%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.58%EV -2.52%E -0.285%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -8.65%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Suprabets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.89%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.30%EV +0.231%E +0.025%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 15:34 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -5.60%E -4.08%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 09:14 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.07%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -11.11%E -8.61%K -38.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-04 15:38 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.39%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.23%EV -9.73%E -7.43%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.46%EV -14.09%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.35%EV -9.73%E -7.43%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.60%EV -22.90%E -3.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.26%EV -7.66%E -5.72%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -12.66%E -2.91%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.35%E -6.28%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -13.06%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.17%EV -9.04%E -6.85%K -28.25%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.91%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.02%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.41%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.57%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -15.67%E -3.73%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:35 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.29%E -4.62%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -15.67%E -3.73%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 68.84%EV -17.31%E -14.43%K -86.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.01%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.15%EV -17.68%E -4.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.23%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -19.69%E -4.92%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 15:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -10.42%E -8.02%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -22.90%E -3.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -19.69%E -4.92%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-04 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.18% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.18% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.18% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 15:45 |