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Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 72.69%1.38fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -4.83%
Kelly -21.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.69%72.90%72.74%75.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.251.251.2985.47%79.80%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AE Kifisia FC (Visit)
Prediction 9.44%10.60fair odd
EV +13.26%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.68%9.34%9.39%11.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.7710.0012.0012.50%10.24%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.87%5.60fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.76%17.76%17.87%19.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.085.005.6222.22%19.68%20.00%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 72.69%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 9.44%; Draw: 17.87%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.60. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.90%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +13.26%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.160% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +13.26%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.160% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +13.26%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.160% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -1.72%E -0.313%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -9.86%E -7.95%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +3.82%E +0.347%K +0.382%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -8.87%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 09:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -9.86%E -7.95%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +3.82%E +0.347%K +0.382%G +0.015% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -8.87%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV +3.82%E +0.347%K +0.382%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -0.902%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -5.30%E -0.999%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -0.902%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 18:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -0.902%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 14:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.44%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.60%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 9.77I 10.24%NM 9.64%EV -7.79%E -0.797%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.76%EV +0.423%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.44%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.56%EV -8.45%E -0.871%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -7.98%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.59%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.50%EV -8.45%E -0.871%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.90%EV -7.98%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.34%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.57%EV -10.59%E -8.61%K -46.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.34%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -11.55%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.16%EV -14.95%E -12.78%K -87.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.01%EV -10.34%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.83%EV -14.23%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.86%EV -11.28%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -3.51%E -0.650%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 16:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.67%EV -11.28%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -15.06%E -1.67%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 06:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.69%EV -12.04%E -9.95%K -57.34%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -16.95%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.02%E -3.41%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.08%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.64%EV -18.83%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -5.30%E -0.999%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.08%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.64%EV -18.83%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -5.30%E -0.999%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.08%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -19.59%E -4.35%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-07 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -9.86%E -7.95%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -24.50%E -3.06%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.74% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.57% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.02% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.64% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |