Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-10 18:15 UTC

Score final : Panathinaikos 3–1 AE Kifisia FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prévision 72.69%1.38cote équitable
EV -6.23%
Avantage -4.83%
Kelly -21.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.69%72.90%72.74%75.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.251.251.2985.47%79.80%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.44%10.60cote équitable
EV +13.26%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.160%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.68%9.34%9.39%11.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.7710.0012.0012.50%10.24%10.00%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.87%5.60cote équitable
EV +0.423%
Avantage +0.075%
Kelly +0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.76%17.76%17.87%19.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.085.005.6222.22%19.68%20.00%17.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Panathinaikos (Local) : 72.69% ; AE Kifisia FC (Visiteur) : 9.44% ; Match nul : 17.87%. Pour AE Kifisia FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.60. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.00, soit une espérance positive de +13.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.90%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +13.26%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.160%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +13.26%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.160%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +13.26%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.160%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -1.72%E -0.313%K -0.383%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -9.86%E -7.95%K -41.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +3.82%E +0.347%K +0.382%G +0.015%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -8.87%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 09:19
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -9.86%E -7.95%K -41.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +3.82%E +0.347%K +0.382%G +0.015%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -8.87%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 09:25
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV +3.82%E +0.347%K +0.382%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:19
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -0.902%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -5.30%E -0.999%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -0.902%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:18
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -0.902%E -0.086%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 11:04
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.44%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:27
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.57%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:30
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:50
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -5.62%E -0.562%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.60%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000%9.77I 10.24%NM 9.64%EV -7.79%E -0.797%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.76%EV +0.423%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 15:10
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.44%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.56%EV -8.45%E -0.871%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -7.98%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.59%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.50%EV -8.45%E -0.871%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.90%EV -7.98%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 12:30
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.95%E -5.43%K -24.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -10.34%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.19%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.57%EV -10.59%E -8.61%K -46.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.34%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -11.55%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.16%EV -14.95%E -12.78%K -87.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.01%EV -10.34%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.83%EV -14.23%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Suprabets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.86%EV -11.28%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -3.51%E -0.650%K -0.797%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 16:08
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -8.41%E -6.67%K -32.33%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.67%EV -11.28%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -15.06%E -1.67%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 06:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.69%EV -12.04%E -9.95%K -57.34%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.86%EV -16.95%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.02%E -3.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-08 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.08%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.64%EV -18.83%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -5.30%E -0.999%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.08%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.64%EV -18.83%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -5.30%E -0.999%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -7.08%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 12:30
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 12:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.31%K -36.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -11.31%E -9.27%K -51.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -19.78%E -2.33%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -19.59%E -4.35%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-07 09:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -9.86%E -7.95%K -41.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -24.50%E -3.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.66%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 12:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%1.3%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%1.3%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.74%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-09-09 16:15
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%3.7%2026-09-09 17:41
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 75.02%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.64%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.33%4.1%2026-09-09 16:50