Language:English
Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)
Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.86%51.31%50.96%53.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.801.801.8861.73%55.40%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 21.23%4.71fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +0.658%
Kelly +0.828%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 4.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%21.09%21.23%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.214.204.8627.03%23.74%23.81%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.76%27.60%27.81%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.303.6534.72%30.41%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 51.07%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 21.23%; Draw: 27.70%. For PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.13%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.79%EV +3.20%E +0.658%K +0.828%G +0.026% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -1.68%E -0.472%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +1.92%E +0.401%K +0.506%G +0.010% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.75%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.200%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -0.200%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -2.32%E -0.505%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -3.38%E -0.744%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.06%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -3.38%E -0.744%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.06%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.45%E -0.988%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.45%E -0.988%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -4.45%E -0.988%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +1.09%E +0.299%K +0.412%G +0.005% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +1.09%E +0.299%K +0.412%G +0.005% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.22%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 18:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.22%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.84%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.40%EV -7.21%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.76%EV +0.539%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.06%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -9.75%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.65%E -6.73%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -16.91%E -5.64%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.65%E -6.73%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -20.23%E -7.03%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.93%EV -17.27%E -10.66%K -27.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.03%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.04%EV -16.91%E -5.64%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.94%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.05%E -3.88%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.94%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.44%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -12.94%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -12.76%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.76%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.27%EV -14.20%E -8.45%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.81%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.19%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 22.79%EV -19.73%E -5.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 27.97%EV -14.69%E -4.77%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.37%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -21.43%E -5.79%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |