La escuela de los momios

Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-03-08 19:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -4.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.86%51.31%50.96%53.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.801.801.8861.73%55.40%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 21.23%4.71momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.658%
Kelly +0.828%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.52%21.09%21.23%23.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.214.204.8627.03%23.74%23.81%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.70%3.61momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.299%
Kelly +0.412%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.76%27.60%27.81%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.6534.72%30.41%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.13%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.79%EV +3.20%E +0.658%K +0.828%G +0.026%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -1.68%E -0.472%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 18:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +1.92%E +0.401%K +0.506%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:59
Suprabets1.77I 56.50%NM 52.75%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.200%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -0.200%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 19:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -2.32%E -0.505%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 19:00
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -3.38%E -0.744%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.06%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -3.38%E -0.744%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.06%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.45%E -0.988%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.45%E -0.988%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 19:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -4.45%E -0.988%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 19:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:59
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +1.09%E +0.299%K +0.412%G +0.005%6.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +1.09%E +0.299%K +0.412%G +0.005%6.0%2026-03-08 18:59
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 18:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 19:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.22%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:58
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.57%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.22%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:59
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.84%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.40%EV -7.21%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.76%EV +0.539%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%6.9%2026-03-08 18:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.06%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -9.75%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 18:59
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 18:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 19:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 19:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.65%E -6.73%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -16.91%E -5.64%K -8.45%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -11.65%E -6.73%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -20.23%E -7.03%K -10.76%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 19:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.93%EV -17.27%E -10.66%K -27.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.03%EV -10.82%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.04%EV -16.91%E -5.64%K -8.45%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-08 19:00
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.94%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 19:00
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.05%E -3.88%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.94%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.44%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -12.94%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -12.76%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:59
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 19:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 19:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:59
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 18:59
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 19:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.83%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 19:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -15.06%E -3.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.76%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-08 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 19:00
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.27%EV -14.20%E -8.45%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.81%EV -16.13%E -4.08%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.19%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.79%EV -19.73%E -5.22%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 27.97%EV -14.69%E -4.77%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.37%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -21.43%E -5.79%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-08 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-08 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-08 19:00
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-08 19:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-03-08 19:00