Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

75%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Prediction 74.51%1.34fair odd

EV -6.12%

Edge -4.86%

Kelly -23.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.26%74.51%74.80%75.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.181.221.221.2685%82%82%79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atromitos Athens (Visit)

Prediction 8.67%11.53fair odd

EV +1.48%

Edge +0.127%

Kelly +0.139%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 11.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.00%8.67%8.50%10.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

7.7510.0910.5011.7013%10%10%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 16.82%5.95fair odd

EV -4.15%

Edge -0.728%

Kelly -0.882%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.35%16.82%16.70%18.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.705.225.205.7021%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.33%EV -6.12%E -4.86%K -23.53%G +0.000%	11.70I 8.55%NM 8.00%EV +1.48%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -10.87%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-21 19:50
Betsson	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.45%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -4.59%E -0.417%K -0.459%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.83%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-21 19:50
NordicBet	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.45%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -4.59%E -0.417%K -0.459%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.83%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-21 19:49
FanDuel	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -7.61%E -6.14%K -31.70%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -4.59%E -0.417%K -0.459%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -4.15%E -0.728%K -0.882%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-21 19:49
SportsBet	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.35%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.59%E -0.417%K -0.459%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.51%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-21 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.20I 83.33%NM 73.84%EV -10.59%E -8.82%K -52.94%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -8.92%E -0.850%K -0.939%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-21 19:50
Codere (IT)	1.23I 81.30%NM 73.55%EV -8.35%E -6.79%K -36.32%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -13.26%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.40%EV -12.56%E -2.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-21 19:50
Paddy Power	1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.59%E -8.82%K -52.94%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -13.26%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.92%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-07-21 19:49
Winamax (DE)	1.20I 83.33%NM 72.65%EV -10.59%E -8.82%K -52.94%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -26.27%E -3.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.09%EV -14.24%E -2.79%K -3.47%G +0.000%	14.7%	2026-07-21 19:49
Sky Bet	1.22I 81.97%NM 71.41%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.35%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -26.27%E -3.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.34%EV -20.12%E -4.24%K -5.37%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-07-21 19:50
Winamax (FR)	1.18I 84.75%NM 71.26%EV -12.08%E -10.24%K -67.10%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 10.85%EV -32.78%E -4.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 17.89%EV -20.96%E -4.46%K -5.67%G +0.000%	18.9%	2026-07-21 19:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.