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Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)
Prediction 75.30%1.33fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -3.44%
Kelly -16.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.85%75.29%75.17%77.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.221.221.2788.50%81.82%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 8.00%12.51fair odd
EV +19.94%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.284%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.12%8.04%8.05%9.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.4011.2611.0015.0010.64%8.88%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.70%5.99fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.256%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 6.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.70%16.68%16.77%18.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.405.456.0821.05%18.53%18.35%16.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 75.30%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 8.00%; Draw: 16.70%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.51. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.55%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +19.94%E +1.33%K +1.42%G +0.284% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -11.47%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +11.95%E +0.853%K +0.919%G +0.110% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 10:37 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.69%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +11.95%E +0.853%K +0.919%G +0.110% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 13.07I 7.65%NM 7.30%EV +4.51%E +0.345%K +0.374%G +0.017% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.70%EV +1.55%E +0.256%K +0.306%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.13%EV -5.87%E -4.70%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -10.39%E -8.73%K -54.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -11.14%E -9.44%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -0.047%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -3.12%E -0.538%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.81%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.32%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.80%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.37%E -3.44%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 08:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.00%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.23%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.80%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.07%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 11.48I 8.71%NM 8.05%EV -8.20%E -0.715%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 16.83%EV -8.30%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -5.12%E -4.06%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.84%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.72%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.77%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -8.97%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.32%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.54%EV -10.39%E -8.73%K -54.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.76%EV -14.91%E -13.19%K -114.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.78%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.46%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-22 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 19:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.94%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.94%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.94%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.87%E -4.70%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.85%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -20.66%E -4.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.76%EV -11.90%E -10.17%K -69.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.61%EV -18.16%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-20 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.00%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -9.80%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 06:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.12%E -4.06%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.89%EV -24.84%E -2.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.12%E -4.06%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.89%EV -24.84%E -2.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.95% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.74% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.74% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.74% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.15% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |