Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens

Início: 2026-08-22 18:30 UTC

Final: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Atromitos Athens

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Previsão 75.30%1.33odd justa
EV -4.37%
Vantagem -3.44%
Kelly -16.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.85%75.29%75.17%77.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.221.221.2788.50%81.82%81.97%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atromitos Athens (Visitante)

Previsão 8.00%12.51odd justa
EV +19.94%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescimento +0.284%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.12%8.04%8.05%9.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.4011.2611.0015.0010.64%8.88%9.09%6.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.70%5.99odd justa
EV +1.55%
Vantagem +0.256%
Kelly +0.306%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.70%16.68%16.77%18.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.405.456.0821.05%18.53%18.35%16.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 75.30%; Atromitos Athens (Visitante): 8.00%; Empate: 16.70%. Para Atromitos Athens (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.51. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 15.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +19.94%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.55%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV +19.94%E +1.33%K +1.42%G +0.284%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -11.47%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:58
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +11.95%E +0.853%K +0.919%G +0.110%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 10:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.69%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +11.95%E +0.853%K +0.919%G +0.110%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%13.07I 7.65%NM 7.30%EV +4.51%E +0.345%K +0.374%G +0.017%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.70%EV +1.55%E +0.256%K +0.306%G +0.005%4.7%2026-08-22 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.13%EV -5.87%E -4.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.01%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:58
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.46%EV -10.39%E -8.73%K -54.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 10:39
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.61%EV -11.14%E -9.44%K -61.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV +3.95%E +0.304%K +0.329%G +0.013%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 10:39
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -0.047%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 14:10
Suprabets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -3.12%E -0.538%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.41%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:50
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 15:15
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:30
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:30
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.81%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 15:14
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.32%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.05%E -0.337%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.80%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.37%E -3.44%K -16.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 08:04
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.00%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.23%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -9.80%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.07%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.86%EV -8.04%E -0.699%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.05%EV -8.20%E -0.715%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 16.83%EV -8.30%E -1.51%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -5.12%E -4.06%K -19.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:14
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.84%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.72%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.77%EV -7.38%E -6.00%K -32.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -8.97%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.32%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 12:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.54%EV -10.39%E -8.73%K -54.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 75.76%EV -14.91%E -13.19%K -114.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.78%EV -12.04%E -1.09%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.46%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-22 14:54
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:20
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:14
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.72%EV -6.63%E -5.34%K -27.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.14%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.94%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.94%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.94%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -16.04%E -1.53%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -14.82%E -2.90%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 23:39
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.87%E -4.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.96%E -0.688%K -0.833%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.13%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 10:24
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 72.85%EV -9.64%E -8.03%K -48.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -20.66%E -4.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.76%EV -11.90%E -10.17%K -69.99%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -20.04%E -2.00%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.61%EV -18.16%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-20 19:14
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 16:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -8.13%E -6.67%K -36.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.31%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.00%EV -8.89%E -7.34%K -42.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -24.04%E -2.53%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -9.80%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 06:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.12%E -4.06%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.89%EV -24.84%E -2.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.12%E -4.06%K -19.70%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.89%EV -24.84%E -2.64%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -4.79%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 15:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.95%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.74%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-08-22 11:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.74%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-08-22 11:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.74%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-08-22 11:10
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.15%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-22 15:20