Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete v Olympiakos Piraeus

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 10.20%9.81fair odd
EV +12.18%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.148%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.65%10.20%10.31%12.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.949.0011.0013.79%11.19%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)

Prediction 72.01%1.39fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -12.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.63%72.01%71.93%74.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.281.291.3386.96%78.41%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.79%5.62fair odd
EV +0.507%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.46%17.79%17.76%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.075.005.6522.22%19.71%20.00%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 10.20%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 72.01%; Draw: 17.79%. For OFI Crete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.81. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +12.18%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.148%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Pinnacle🎯10.48I 9.54%NM 9.11%EV +6.88%E +0.656%K +0.725%G +0.050%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV +0.507%E +0.090%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:54
FanDuel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -10.70%E -8.63%K -44.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -0.382%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.98%E -7.99%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.72%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:15
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Suprabets🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.64%EV -1.08%E -0.111%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -4.22%E -3.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -4.22%E -3.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:50
DraftKings🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Bet Right🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -19.95%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.77%EV -5.67%E -0.613%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.19%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -15.50%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet🎯9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -8.12%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.04%EV -5.66%E -4.32%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.04%EV -5.66%E -4.32%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.34%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.13%EV -17.18%E -14.94%K -114.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.52%EV -14.61%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetMGM🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -13.32%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.24%EV -5.66%E -4.32%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -13.32%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.16%EV -9.26%E -7.35%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -13.32%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.98%E -7.99%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -14.34%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.84%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.45%EV -15.87%E -1.92%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -12.86%E -10.63%K -61.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -16.39%E -3.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -15.50%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:20
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.98%E -7.99%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 14:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.42%EV -9.26%E -7.35%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.61%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.82%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.96%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -15.50%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.74%EV -20.97%E -2.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -5.72%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 11.26%EV -21.99%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 70.02%EV -11.42%E -9.29%K -49.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.72%EV -18.17%E -3.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 14:24
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 14:25
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.15%EV -26.06%E -3.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.88%EV -9.26%E -7.35%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.48%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.99%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%2.6%2026-03-14 14:50