La escuela de los momios

OFI Crete v Olympiakos Piraeus

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

OFI Crete (Local)

Predicción 10.20%9.81momio equitativo
EV +12.18%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.148%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.65%10.20%10.31%12.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.258.949.0011.0013.79%11.19%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante)

Predicción 72.01%1.39momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -3.17%
Kelly -12.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.63%72.01%71.93%74.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.281.291.3386.96%78.41%77.52%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.79%5.62momio equitativo
EV +0.507%
Ventaja +0.090%
Kelly +0.109%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.46%17.79%17.76%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.075.005.6522.22%19.71%20.00%17.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +12.18%E +1.11%K +1.22%G +0.148%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Pinnacle10.48I 9.54%NM 9.11%EV +6.88%E +0.656%K +0.725%G +0.050%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV +0.507%E +0.090%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Victor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:54
FanDuel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -10.70%E -8.63%K -44.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -0.382%E -0.068%K -0.083%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.98%E -7.99%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.72%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:15
SportsBet10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV +1.98%E +0.198%K +0.220%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Suprabets9.70I 10.31%NM 9.64%EV -1.08%E -0.111%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
LowVig.ag9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -4.22%E -3.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -4.22%E -3.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:50
DraftKings9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:35
William Hill9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Mr Green (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -3.12%E -0.328%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -19.95%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 14:49
Betr (AU)9.25I 10.81%NM 9.77%EV -5.67%E -0.613%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.19%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -15.50%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -8.12%E -0.901%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.04%EV -5.66%E -4.32%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.04%EV -5.66%E -4.32%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:49
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -8.54%E -6.73%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
PMU (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.34%EV -8.22%E -0.913%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.13%EV -17.18%E -14.94%K -114.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.52%EV -14.61%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetMGM8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -13.32%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.24%EV -5.66%E -4.32%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.61%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -13.32%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.16%EV -9.26%E -7.35%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Betclic (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -13.32%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.98%E -7.99%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 14:49
Codere (IT)8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -14.34%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.84%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:50
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 10.45%EV -15.87%E -1.92%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -12.86%E -10.63%K -61.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -16.39%E -3.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -6.38%E -4.91%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -15.50%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:20
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.98%E -7.99%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 14:20
Parions Sport (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.42%EV -9.26%E -7.35%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -14.61%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Sky Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 10.82%EV -18.42%E -2.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.96%EV -12.14%E -9.95%K -55.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -15.50%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Winamax (DE)7.75I 12.90%NM 11.74%EV -20.97%E -2.71%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -5.72%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:49
Unibet (FR)7.65I 13.07%NM 11.26%EV -21.99%E -2.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 70.02%EV -11.42%E -9.29%K -49.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.72%EV -18.17%E -3.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 14:24
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.10%E -5.51%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 14:25
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -23.51%E -3.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.82%E -6.11%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:24
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.15%EV -26.06%E -3.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.88%EV -9.26%E -7.35%K -35.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.60%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.79%1.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.48%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.99%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.52%2.6%2026-03-14 14:50