Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete v Levadiakos

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 2–0 Levadiakos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.476%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%31.46%31.56%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.873.2037.74%34.87%34.84%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%39.14%39.16%40.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.372.4946.51%42.73%42.28%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.37%3.41fair odd
EV -0.154%
Edge -0.045%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.49%29.40%29.28%31.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.163.4034.48%31.64%31.65%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 31.58%; Levadiakos (Visit): 39.06%; Draw: 29.37%. For OFI Crete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV +1.05%E +0.327%K +0.476%G +0.005%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 12:10
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.96%EV -1.79%E -0.577%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -6.91%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:39
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.53%EV -3.06%E -0.996%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.43%EV -9.55%E -3.10%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.74%EV -4.00%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:37
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 06:35
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:40
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -0.154%E -0.045%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 09:18
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:47
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:18
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:50
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 06:35
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -3.09%E -0.936%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 06:35
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.28%EV -13.30%E -5.99%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -8.08%E -2.58%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:37
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:44
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 14:39
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -16.03%E -7.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -16.32%E -6.16%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-04-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-04-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-18 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-04-18 14:45