La escuela de los momios

OFI Crete v Levadiakos

Inicio: 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 2–0 Levadiakos

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

OFI Crete (Local)

Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.327%
Kelly +0.476%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%31.46%31.56%33.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.873.2037.74%34.87%34.84%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Levadiakos (Visitante)

Predicción 39.06%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.00%39.14%39.16%40.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.372.4946.51%42.73%42.28%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.37%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.154%
Ventaja -0.045%
Kelly -0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.49%29.40%29.28%31.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.163.4034.48%31.64%31.65%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV +1.05%E +0.327%K +0.476%G +0.005%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 12:10
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 30.96%EV -1.79%E -0.577%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.75%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -6.91%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 14:50
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:40
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.11%E -0.681%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:39
1xBet3.07I 32.57%NM 30.53%EV -3.06%E -0.996%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.43%EV -9.55%E -3.10%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:45
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -4.31%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Suprabets3.04I 32.89%NM 30.74%EV -4.00%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:37
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 06:35
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:40
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -5.48%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 14:40
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -0.154%E -0.045%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 09:18
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:47
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:18
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:50
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.06%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 06:35
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -3.09%E -0.936%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 06:35
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 06:35
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.16%EV -9.37%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.28%EV -13.30%E -5.99%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -8.08%E -2.58%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:37
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.00%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:50
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:45
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:44
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -14.08%E -6.40%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -11.58%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 14:20
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:25
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 14:39
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -14.74%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -16.03%E -7.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 09:20
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -16.32%E -6.16%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-04-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-04-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-04-18 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-04-18 14:45