Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete v AE Kifisia FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:30 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 2–0 AE Kifisia FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.38%43.90%43.73%46.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.48%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -0.277%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%26.60%26.86%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7332.26%29.48%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%29.50%29.41%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.3035.09%32.27%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 43.85%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 26.74%; Draw: 29.42%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.73, with an expected value of -0.277%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:25
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -0.277%E -0.074%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.13%EV -6.15%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -4.85%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -2.92%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:06
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 04:40
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.63%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -4.68%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.05%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Suprabets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -7.49%E -3.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.81%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -9.98%E -3.26%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:12
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.92%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.92%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:13
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:25
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 16:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:10
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:06
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:06
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -15.27%E -5.30%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -1.08%E -0.292%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -12.75%E -6.41%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.20%EV -13.62%E -6.92%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.45%EV -17.12%E -5.52%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.35%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-06 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -14.06%E -7.17%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.78%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.95%EV -16.16%E -5.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-06 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-09-06 16:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25