Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

OFI Crete v AE Kifisia FC

Início: 2026-09-06 16:30 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 2–0 AE Kifisia FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

OFI Crete (Local)

Previsão 43.85%2.28odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.38%43.90%43.73%46.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.48%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.74%3.74odd justa
EV -0.277%
Vantagem -0.074%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.96%26.60%26.86%27.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.7332.26%29.48%29.41%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.42%3.40odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -0.884%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.23%29.50%29.41%31.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.103.103.3035.09%32.27%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: OFI Crete (Local): 43.85%; AE Kifisia FC (Visitante): 26.74%; Empate: 29.42%. Para AE Kifisia FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.74. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.73, com valor esperado de -0.277%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:25
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.66%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -4.42%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -0.277%E -0.074%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.13%EV -6.15%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -4.85%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -2.92%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:06
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 04:40
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.63%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -4.68%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.05%E -3.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Suprabets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -7.49%E -3.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.81%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -9.98%E -3.26%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:12
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.92%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.92%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:13
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:25
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 16:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:10
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:06
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:06
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.45%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -8.36%E -4.00%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.44%E -3.12%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -10.12%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -15.27%E -5.30%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -1.08%E -0.292%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -12.75%E -6.41%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.74%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.20%EV -13.62%E -6.92%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.45%EV -17.12%E -5.52%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.35%EV -14.69%E -5.06%K -7.73%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-06 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -14.06%E -7.17%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.78%EV -14.50%E -7.44%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.95%EV -16.16%E -5.67%K -8.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-06 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-09-06 16:20
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25