Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos v Panetolikos Agrinio

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 17:00 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 0–2 Panetolikos Agrinio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos (Local)

Prediction 46.45%2.15fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%46.70%46.44%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.921.922.0858.48%51.98%52.08%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit)

Prediction 24.49%4.08fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +0.956%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%24.39%24.52%26.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.843.804.2528.99%26.05%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.07%3.44fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.497%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.25%28.91%29.05%30.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.203.203.5033.90%31.22%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levadiakos (Local): 46.45%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit): 24.49%; Draw: 29.07%. For Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.39%EV -13.61%E -7.32%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.69%EV -4.32%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.99%EV -1.81%E -0.452%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -4.65%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV +1.74%E +0.497%K +0.696%G +0.012%4.9%2026-09-06 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 16:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.11%EV -17.79%E -10.05%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.11%EV -17.79%E -10.05%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.11%EV -17.79%E -10.05%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -2.62%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -5.73%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.11%EV -20.58%E -12.03%K -28.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.25%EV -5.73%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Suprabets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.36%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.21%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 16:48
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:54
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -12.68%E -6.75%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 16:30
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.16%EV -9.16%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:54
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -10.36%E -5.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 16:33
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.39%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.52%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.97%E -4.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -15.52%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.82%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -15.52%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-09-06 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-09-06 16:55