Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-09-06 17:00 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 0–2 Panetolikos Agrinio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos (Local)

Predicción 46.45%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%46.70%46.44%50.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.921.922.0858.48%51.98%52.08%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 24.49%4.08momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +0.956%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.051%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.99%24.39%24.52%26.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.843.804.2528.99%26.05%26.32%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.07%3.44momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.497%
Kelly +0.696%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.25%28.91%29.05%30.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.203.203.5033.90%31.22%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Levadiakos (Local): 46.45%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante): 24.49%; Empate: 29.07%. Para Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.08. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.06%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.39%EV -13.61%E -7.32%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV +4.06%E +0.956%K +1.25%G +0.051%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.69%EV -4.32%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.99%EV -1.81%E -0.452%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -4.65%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV +1.74%E +0.497%K +0.696%G +0.012%4.9%2026-09-06 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -1.17%E -0.343%K -0.486%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 16:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.11%EV -17.79%E -10.05%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.11%EV -17.79%E -10.05%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.11%EV -17.79%E -10.05%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -2.06%E -0.514%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.51%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -2.62%E -0.782%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -5.73%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.11%EV -20.58%E -12.03%K -28.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.25%EV -5.73%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Suprabets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.36%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.21%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 16:48
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:54
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -12.68%E -6.75%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.18%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 16:30
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.16%EV -9.16%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.98%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 16:54
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -10.36%E -5.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.63%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 16:33
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.85%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -13.08%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.53%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -9.89%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.39%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.52%EV -14.30%E -4.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.25%E -4.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.97%E -4.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -15.52%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.43%E -2.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.82%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -15.52%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.34%E -3.72%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-09-06 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-09-06 16:30
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-09-06 16:55