Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos v Panathinaikos

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 17:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos (Local)

Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -0.001%
Edge -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.77%29.30%29.39%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.4034.48%32.23%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 40.39%2.48fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.30%40.50%40.30%42.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.252.4448.78%44.55%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.28%30.20%30.31%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.033.053.2537.04%33.01%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levadiakos (Local): 29.41%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 40.39%; Draw: 30.20%. For Levadiakos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40004. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40000, with an expected value of -0.001%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -10.75%E -4.86%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:00
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -10.75%E -4.86%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:59
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.892%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:59
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.37%EV -3.53%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -4.56%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 16:58
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.90%E -3.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:59
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -13.02%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Suprabets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -6.77%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.95%EV -5.50%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.46%E -0.597%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.56%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.46%E -0.597%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.56%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 17:00
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 16:59
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 17:00
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:59
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -7.94%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.15%EV -14.38%E -6.78%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 16:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:59
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -11.96%E -5.49%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 17:00
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -9.41%E -3.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -4.26%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:59
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 17:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -16.94%E -6.16%K -9.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -15.19%E -7.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -15.19%E -7.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.43%E -5.51%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 28.90%EV -12.35%E -4.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.61%EV -16.40%E -7.92%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%EV -11.81%E -4.04%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.24%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -13.17%E -6.13%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -13.24%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.48%EV -16.40%E -7.92%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.81%E -4.04%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 17:00
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.66%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.55%EV -17.21%E -8.39%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.79%EV -18.45%E -6.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%0.9%2026-03-08 17:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%2.9%2026-03-08 17:00