La escuela de los momios

Levadiakos v Panathinaikos

Inicio: 2026-03-08 17:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levadiakos (Local)

Predicción 29.41%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.001%
Ventaja -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.77%29.30%29.39%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.4034.48%32.23%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panathinaikos (Visitante)

Predicción 40.39%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.597%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.30%40.50%40.30%42.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.242.252.4448.78%44.55%44.44%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.20%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.567%
Kelly -0.819%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.28%30.20%30.31%31.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.053.2537.04%33.01%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -10.75%E -4.86%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:00
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.72%EV -10.75%E -4.86%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:59
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.892%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:59
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.37%EV -3.53%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -4.56%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 16:58
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.90%E -3.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:59
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -5.88%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -13.02%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Suprabets3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -6.77%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.95%EV -5.50%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:56
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.46%E -0.597%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.56%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:59
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.46%E -0.597%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.56%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 17:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.84%E -0.567%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 16:59
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 17:00
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.35%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.55%EV -7.94%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.15%EV -14.38%E -6.78%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 16:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -9.94%E -4.46%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:59
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 17:00
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.82%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -11.96%E -5.49%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 17:00
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -9.41%E -3.06%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.14%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -4.26%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.37%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 17:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -16.94%E -6.16%K -9.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -15.19%E -7.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -15.19%E -7.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.43%E -5.51%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 28.90%EV -12.35%E -4.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.61%EV -16.40%E -7.92%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.49%EV -11.81%E -4.04%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.24%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -13.17%E -6.13%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 16:59
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -13.24%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.48%EV -16.40%E -7.92%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.81%E -4.04%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 17:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:59
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.66%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.55%EV -17.21%E -8.39%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.79%EV -18.45%E -6.83%K -10.86%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%0.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%0.9%2026-03-08 17:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%2.9%2026-03-08 17:00