The School of Odds
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Kalamata FC v Panathinaikos

2026-09-20 16:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalamata FC (Local)

Prediction 13.08%7.64fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.64%13.09%13.07%14.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.857.007.2516.67%14.59%14.29%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 64.49%1.55fair odd
EV -6.49%
Edge -4.48%
Kelly -14.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.24%64.38%64.49%65.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4573.53%70.68%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.43%4.46fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%22.53%22.45%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.014.004.2026.67%24.93%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kalamata FC (Local): 13.08%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 64.49%; Draw: 22.43%. For Kalamata FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.25, with an expected value of -5.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -5.14%E -0.709%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.00%EV -9.07%E -6.44%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:40
Betsson🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -5.79%E -0.805%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.47%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -5.79%E -0.805%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.79%EV -8.43%E -5.94%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 14:45
1xBet🎯7.19I 13.91%NM 13.04%EV -5.92%E -0.824%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.65%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:31
NordicBet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.96%EV -7.10%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.33%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -9.16%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 10:40
Suprabets🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 10:43
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.28%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 11:15
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -8.43%E -5.94%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 11:00
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:10
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:15
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -9.72%E -6.94%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 10:46
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -8.41%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -12.30%E -9.04%K -34.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -10.28%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 10:46
Codere (IT)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -11.03%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.46%EV -9.07%E -6.44%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:41
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -14.95%E -2.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.02%EV -11.65%E -8.51%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -21.49%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.49%EV -11.01%E -7.98%K -28.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -10.28%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 11:10
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -21.49%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -9.72%E -6.94%K -24.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.89%E -4.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -21.49%E -3.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -12.30%E -9.04%K -34.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%16.9%2026-09-13 10:41