L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kalamata FC v Panathinaikos

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 16:30 UTC

Score final : Kalamata FC 0–1 Panathinaikos

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kalamata FC (Local)

Prévision 8.61%11.62cote équitable
EV +11.92%
Avantage +0.917%
Kelly +0.993%
Croissance +0.118%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.10%8.64%8.47%10.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.5710.5013.0011.76%9.46%9.52%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.65%1.32cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -3.09%
Kelly -14.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.86%75.68%75.74%77.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.221.221.2786.96%81.97%81.97%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.74%6.35cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.352%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.33%15.69%15.79%17.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.645.556.5020.41%17.72%18.02%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kalamata FC (Local) : 8.61% ; Panathinaikos (Visiteur) : 75.65% ; Match nul : 15.74%. Pour Kalamata FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.62. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +11.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +11.92%E +0.917%K +0.993%G +0.118%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.80%EV -6.19%E -4.99%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -5.58%E -0.930%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:24
FanDuel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +11.92%E +0.917%K +0.993%G +0.118%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -9.21%E -7.68%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.58%E -0.930%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 16:23
BetUS🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +11.92%E +0.917%K +0.993%G +0.118%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.53%EV -9.97%E -8.38%K -52.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.58%E -0.930%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:24
1xBet🎯12.90I 7.75%NM 7.28%EV +11.06%E +0.857%K +0.929%G +0.103%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.97%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.75%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 16:24
SportsBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +7.61%E +0.609%K +0.662%G +0.050%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -10.73%E -9.09%K -59.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -5.58%E -0.930%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 16:23
betano_uk🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +3.31%E +0.276%K +0.301%G +0.010%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -9.52%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 16:23
Bet Victor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +3.31%E +0.276%K +0.301%G +0.010%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -9.52%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 16:22
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV +3.31%E +0.276%K +0.301%G +0.010%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -9.21%E -7.68%K -46.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.73%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 16:10
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +3.31%E +0.276%K +0.301%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -11.48%E -9.82%K -67.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:25
Fanatics🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.997%E -0.087%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.56%EV -6.19%E -4.99%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -9.52%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:24
DraftKings🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.19%E -4.99%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +2.29%E +0.352%K +0.416%G +0.010%5.1%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -6.94%E -5.65%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.58%E -0.930%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 16:24
Suprabets🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.62%EV -8.46%E -6.99%K -40.28%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -2.43%E -0.393%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 16:22
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.62%EV -8.46%E -6.99%K -40.28%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -2.43%E -0.393%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.62%EV -8.46%E -6.99%K -40.28%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -2.43%E -0.393%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 16:24
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.99%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -6.37%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 16:25
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -8.73%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 16:25
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.52%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.52%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -9.52%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:25
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.88%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 16:23
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -5.30%E -0.482%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Pinnacle🎯10.71I 9.34%NM 8.91%EV -7.80%E -0.728%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.74%EV -4.68%E -3.71%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.34%EV -2.12%E -0.341%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:24
Casumo🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:25
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:24
TABtouch🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -3.92%E -3.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:25
NordicBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.59%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.15%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.62%EV -9.61%E -0.915%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:24
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -13.91%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +2.29%E +0.352%K +0.416%G +0.010%7.4%2026-09-20 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -13.91%E -1.39%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.79%EV -8.46%E -6.99%K -40.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -11.88%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -9.21%E -7.68%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.58%E -0.930%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:24
BetMGM🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.32%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.32%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.32%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 74.13%EV -10.73%E -9.09%K -59.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 16:18
NetBet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.02%EV -18.21%E -1.92%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 74.50%EV -13.00%E -11.30%K -86.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.48%EV -18.17%E -3.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-20 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:25
Neds🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 74.97%EV -9.97%E -8.38%K -52.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -7.15%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 16:25
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.61%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 73.92%EV -11.48%E -9.82%K -67.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.47%EV -17.38%E -3.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-20 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 72.89%EV -10.73%E -9.09%K -59.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -22.89%E -4.67%K -5.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.47%EV -22.52%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 73.48%EV -12.24%E -10.55%K -76.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.05%EV -21.32%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-20 16:24
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -26.82%E -3.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -7.70%E -6.31%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.45%E -2.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-09-20 16:25
Smarkets◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-09-20 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-09-20 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-09-20 16:25
Kalshi◎14.29I 7.00%NM 6.79%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.67%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%3.0%2026-09-20 16:24