Language:English
Iraklis FC v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iraklis FC (Local)
Prediction 31.87%3.14fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.18%31.93%31.78%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.883.0937.04%35.00%34.72%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 37.55%2.66fair odd
EV -0.113%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%37.47%37.74%39.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.412.402.6645.05%41.48%41.67%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%30.61%30.48%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.773.053.053.2336.10%32.83%32.79%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iraklis FC (Local): 31.87%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 37.55%; Draw: 30.58%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.663. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.660, with an expected value of -0.113%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.49%EV -0.864%E -0.327%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.33%EV -8.87%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.75%E -3.60%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.00%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.00%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 14:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 16:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.77%EV -0.113%E -0.043%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -8.00%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.94%EV -8.00%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -4.59%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.00%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.86%E -3.10%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%EV -8.37%E -3.43%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -1.22%E -0.378%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.00%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 17:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.75%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.63%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.63%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 16:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.63%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 16:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.63%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 16:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.37%E -5.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.56%EV -16.64%E -7.49%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -7.64%E -2.53%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 17:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.24%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -12.88%E -5.55%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.24%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -12.88%E -5.55%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.24%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -12.88%E -5.55%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 17:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.63%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-12 17:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.44%EV -13.32%E -4.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.68%EV -14.76%E -6.50%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.88%EV -15.29%E -5.52%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.63%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.17% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.38% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.38% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.4% | 2026-09-12 17:56 |