Language:English
Asteras Tripolis v Panserraikos FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 51.38%1.95fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.94%51.44%51.38%52.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.94%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panserraikos FC (Visit)
Prediction 19.43%5.15fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.247%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.92%19.36%19.46%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.654.605.2023.53%21.48%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%29.19%29.16%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.91%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 51.38%; Panserraikos FC (Visit): 19.43%; Draw: 29.19%. For Panserraikos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +1.04%E +0.200%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +1.04%E +0.200%K +0.247%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.34%EV -4.95%E -2.67%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.88%EV -2.26%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -6.88%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -8.03%E -4.49%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.24%EV -6.88%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 15:57 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.09%E -5.76%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.09%E -5.76%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -5.46%E -2.97%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.82%EV -3.43%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -10.09%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.95%E -2.67%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.79%E -0.978%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.95%E -2.67%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.79%E -0.978%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.61%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -10.09%E -5.76%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.60%E -6.09%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -11.59%E -2.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -18.27%E -6.52%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.36%EV -14.20%E -8.50%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -12.66%E -7.44%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.77%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-12 15:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -15.87%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -15.93%E -5.53%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.26%EV -11.63%E -6.76%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -17.42%E -4.10%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |