L’École des cotes

Asteras Tripolis v Panserraikos FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 16:02 UTC

Score final : Asteras Tripolis 1–0 Panserraikos FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prévision 51.38%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.94%51.44%51.38%52.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.94%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Panserraikos FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.43%5.15cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.200%
Kelly +0.247%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.92%19.36%19.46%20.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.654.605.2023.53%21.48%21.74%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.99%29.19%29.16%30.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.91%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +1.04%E +0.200%K +0.247%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +1.04%E +0.200%K +0.247%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 15:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.34%EV -4.95%E -2.67%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.88%EV -2.26%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -6.88%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 15:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -8.03%E -4.49%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.24%EV -6.88%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 15:57
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.09%E -5.76%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.09%E -5.76%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -2.85%E -0.570%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-12 16:00
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -5.46%E -2.97%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.82%EV -3.43%E -0.690%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -10.09%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 15:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.95%E -2.67%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.79%E -0.978%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 15:59
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -4.95%E -2.67%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -4.79%E -0.978%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 15:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 16:00
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.61%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -10.09%E -5.76%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 16:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.73%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 15:59
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -3.92%E -2.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 15:59
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -5.98%E -3.27%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.71%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 15:59
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 16:00
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -9.06%E -5.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.60%E -6.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -10.62%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -11.59%E -2.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 15:59
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.26%EV -7.00%E -3.87%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -6.49%E -3.57%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 15:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 15:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 15:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 49.94%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -18.27%E -6.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-12 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.36%EV -14.20%E -8.50%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -12.56%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-12 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -8.55%E -4.80%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -7.52%E -4.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -12.66%E -7.44%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.77%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -14.51%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 15:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -11.11%E -6.42%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -15.87%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -15.93%E -5.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-12 16:00
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.26%EV -11.63%E -6.76%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -17.42%E -4.10%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-12 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-05-12 16:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40%1.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%3.2%2026-05-12 16:00