Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Asteras Tripolis v Panathinaikos

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prediction 16.27%6.15fair odd
EV +5.73%
Edge +0.881%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.77%16.21%16.27%17.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.515.506.5020.41%18.16%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 58.05%1.72fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.40%58.08%58.04%59.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.591.601.6669.44%62.71%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -0.854%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%25.71%25.68%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.59%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 16.27%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 58.05%; Draw: 25.69%. For Asteras Tripolis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.15. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +5.73%E +0.881%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +5.73%E +0.881%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:34
Pinnacle🎯6.48I 15.43%NM 14.77%EV +5.40%E +0.833%K +0.985%G +0.053%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.79%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.82%EV +2.47%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.012%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -8.04%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:40
1xBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:49
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:54
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:35
Betsson🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.66%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:55
NordicBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.66%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:54
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -5.66%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:54
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:54
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.91%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.91%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:43
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:44
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:35
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.51%EV -11.19%E -7.31%K -21.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 16:51
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.03%E -6.47%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -12.93%E -8.62%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -12.17%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.18%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 15.91%EV -12.17%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%EV -14.09%E -9.52%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 16:54
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.61%E -6.89%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 15.78%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -16.41%E -11.40%K -37.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -17.80%E -5.56%K -8.09%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-22 16:35
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -14.61%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -14.61%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:55
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.40%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.40%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.40%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -17.05%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:10
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.96%EV -10.03%E -6.47%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 17.40%EV -19.49%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.66%EV -11.77%E -7.74%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.94%EV -14.72%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -20.30%E -4.14%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.61%E -6.89%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.3%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-03-22 16:55