La escuela de los momios

Asteras Tripolis v Panathinaikos

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Predicción 16.27%6.15momio equitativo
EV +5.73%
Ventaja +0.881%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.77%16.21%16.27%17.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.515.506.5020.41%18.16%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panathinaikos (Visitante)

Predicción 58.05%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -5.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.40%58.08%58.04%59.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.591.601.6669.44%62.71%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.69%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -0.854%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.87%25.71%25.68%27.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.59%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +5.73%E +0.881%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:35
BetOnline.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +5.73%E +0.881%K +1.04%G +0.060%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:34
Pinnacle6.48I 15.43%NM 14.77%EV +5.40%E +0.833%K +0.985%G +0.053%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.79%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets6.30I 15.87%NM 14.82%EV +2.47%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.012%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -8.04%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:40
1xBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:49
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:54
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -2.41%E -0.401%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:35
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.66%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:55
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.66%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 16:54
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -5.66%E -0.976%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:54
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -2.39%E -0.629%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:54
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -6.47%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.91%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.91%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:49
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:43
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:44
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:35
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:35
Betclic (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.51%EV -11.19%E -7.31%K -21.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 16:51
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.03%E -6.47%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -10.54%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -12.93%E -8.62%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 16:35
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -12.17%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.18%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:54
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 15.91%EV -12.17%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%EV -14.09%E -9.52%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 16:54
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -3.64%E -2.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.61%E -6.89%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 15.78%EV -13.79%E -2.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -16.41%E -11.40%K -37.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -17.80%E -5.56%K -8.09%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-22 16:35
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -14.61%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:30
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -14.61%E -2.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 16:45
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:55
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.40%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.40%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -15.42%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.40%EV -4.80%E -2.93%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.64%EV -17.05%E -3.34%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:10
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.65%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.67%E -3.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.96%EV -10.03%E -6.47%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 16:34
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 17.40%EV -19.49%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.66%EV -11.77%E -7.74%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.94%EV -14.72%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -20.30%E -4.14%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.61%E -6.89%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.3%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-03-22 16:55