Language:English
Asteras Tripolis v Olympiakos Piraeus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 13.82%7.23fair odd
EV +7.69%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 7.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.01%13.80%13.90%16.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.646.757.7918.18%15.07%14.81%12.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)
Prediction 62.16%1.61fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -9.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.97%62.17%62.08%65.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.491.5372.46%67.86%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +0.761%
Kelly +0.991%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.73%24.02%24.02%25.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.804.3028.57%26.14%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 13.82%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 62.16%; Draw: 24.02%. For Asteras Tripolis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.01%EV +7.69%E +0.988%K +1.13%G +0.087% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.36%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.65%EV +4.79%E +0.632%K +0.728%G +0.035% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.08%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +3.68%E +0.491%K +0.567%G +0.021% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -11.73%E -8.26%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +3.27%E +0.761%K +0.991%G +0.032% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.68%E +0.491%K +0.567%G +0.021% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +2.30%E +0.311%K +0.360%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +2.30%E +0.311%K +0.360%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV +2.30%E +0.311%K +0.360%G +0.008% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.12%EV -6.82%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 17:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.78%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.74%EV -8.76%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.09%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 17:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.84%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.54%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.96%EV -12.91%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -11.73%E -8.26%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-30 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.92%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.85%EV -14.02%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.11%EV -11.11%E -7.77%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.11%EV -11.11%E -7.77%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.11%EV -11.11%E -7.77%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -15.67%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.75%EV -13.60%E -9.78%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.18%EV -14.74%E -4.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.06%EV -15.67%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.13%EV -14.22%E -10.30%K -37.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.96%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -15.94%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 12.03% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.94% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.03% | -0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |