Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Asteras Tripolis v Olympiakos Piraeus

Inicio: 2026-08-30 18:00 UTC

Final: Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Predicción 13.82%7.23momio equitativo
EV +7.69%
Ventaja +0.988%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.087%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.01%13.80%13.90%16.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.646.757.7918.18%15.07%14.81%12.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante)

Predicción 62.16%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -3.20%
Kelly -9.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.97%62.17%62.08%65.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.491.5372.46%67.86%67.11%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.02%4.16momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +0.761%
Kelly +0.991%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%24.02%24.02%25.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.804.3028.57%26.14%26.32%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 13.82%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante): 62.16%; Empate: 24.02%. Para Asteras Tripolis (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.23. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.79, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.69%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯7.79I 12.84%NM 12.01%EV +7.69%E +0.988%K +1.13%G +0.087%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.36%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯7.58I 13.19%NM 12.65%EV +4.79%E +0.632%K +0.728%G +0.035%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.08%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:55
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +3.68%E +0.491%K +0.567%G +0.021%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -11.73%E -8.26%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +3.27%E +0.761%K +0.991%G +0.032%7.0%2026-08-30 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.68%E +0.491%K +0.567%G +0.021%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +2.30%E +0.311%K +0.360%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +2.30%E +0.311%K +0.360%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Suprabets🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV +2.30%E +0.311%K +0.360%G +0.008%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.12%EV -6.82%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 17:36
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.58%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 17:40
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 17:49
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:50
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.74%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 17:50
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 08:50
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.78%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:49
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -3.23%E -0.461%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.58%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:40
BetUS🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 17:55
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -6.68%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -7.38%E -4.95%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.74%EV -8.76%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.09%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:55
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:44
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 17:43
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.84%EV -8.00%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:50
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.54%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.14%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 17:44
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 13.96%EV -12.91%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -11.73%E -8.26%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -12.34%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.92%EV -9.25%E -6.33%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.85%EV -14.02%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.11%EV -11.11%E -7.77%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.11%EV -11.11%E -7.77%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.60%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.11%EV -11.11%E -7.77%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -15.67%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 61.75%EV -13.60%E -9.78%K -34.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.18%EV -14.74%E -4.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-30 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.06%EV -15.67%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.13%EV -14.22%E -10.30%K -37.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 17:40
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.96%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:40
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 17:49
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -17.05%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -15.94%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-30 17:50
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -23.96%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -6.76%E -4.51%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎8.33I 12.00%NM 12.03%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.94%4.55I 21.98%NM 22.03%-0.2%2026-08-30 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Smarkets◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-08-30 17:45