Language:English
Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 49.50%2.02fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%49.97%49.41%53.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.821.851.9559.52%54.82%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 22.02%4.54fair odd
EV +4.58%
Edge +0.964%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%21.81%21.93%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.144.204.7526.67%24.13%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.95%28.22%28.66%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.253.5534.72%30.30%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 49.50%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 22.02%; Draw: 28.48%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -14.36%E -8.30%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV +4.58%E +0.964%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +3.48%E +0.740%K +0.940%G +0.033% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +3.48%E +0.740%K +0.940%G +0.033% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.23%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.54%EV -2.91%E -0.659%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.13%E -0.711%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.13%E -0.711%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -16.84%E -10.02%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.13%E -0.711%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -1.74%E -0.504%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.13%EV -15.85%E -9.32%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.03%EV -8.57%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.93%E -4.26%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -14.86%E -8.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -1.74%E -0.504%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.77%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.67%EV -9.07%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -6.58%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 16:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -16.84%E -10.02%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-02 15:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -15.85%E -9.32%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.10%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.88%EV -14.86%E -8.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%EV -13.13%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.90%E -6.05%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -17.44%E -4.65%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -17.44%E -4.65%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.97%E -6.24%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-02 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 16:25 |