La escuela de los momios

Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens

Inicio: 2026-05-02 16:30 UTC

Final: Asteras Tripolis 4–2 Atromitos Athens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Predicción 49.50%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%49.97%49.41%53.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.821.851.9559.52%54.82%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atromitos Athens (Visitante)

Predicción 22.02%4.54momio equitativo
EV +4.58%
Ventaja +0.964%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.60%21.81%21.93%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.144.204.7526.67%24.13%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.48%3.51momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.313%
Kelly +0.436%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.95%28.22%28.66%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.253.5534.72%30.30%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -14.36%E -8.30%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV +4.58%E +0.964%K +1.22%G +0.056%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:50
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +3.48%E +0.740%K +0.940%G +0.033%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%6.3%2026-05-02 15:46
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +3.48%E +0.740%K +0.940%G +0.033%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%6.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.23%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.54%EV -2.91%E -0.659%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:25
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.13%E -0.711%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.13%E -0.711%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -16.84%E -10.02%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -3.13%E -0.711%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 16:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -1.74%E -0.504%K -0.709%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.13%EV -15.85%E -9.32%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -5.33%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 16:05
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:46
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:46
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:40
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:46
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.36%EV -12.88%E -7.32%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -6.43%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.11%E +0.313%K +0.436%G +0.005%8.5%2026-05-02 15:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:20
Suprabets1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.03%EV -8.57%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 16:24
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.93%E -4.26%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 15:40
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 15:46
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -13.87%E -7.97%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -0.313%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 15:46
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -14.86%E -8.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.53%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -1.74%E -0.504%K -0.709%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:46
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.77%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.67%EV -9.07%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -6.58%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:24
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:16
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:24
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:25
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -16.84%E -10.02%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 15:46
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -15.85%E -9.32%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 15:50
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 16:19
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 16:15
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 16:19
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.93%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 16:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:05
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 16:05
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.10%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.88%EV -14.86%E -8.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00%EV -14.14%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%EV -13.13%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-02 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.90%E -6.05%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -17.44%E -4.65%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.55%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -17.44%E -4.65%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.97%E -6.24%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-02 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-02 16:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-05-02 16:25
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%3.3%2026-05-02 16:25