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Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 35.33%2.83fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%35.36%35.31%37.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.552.7642.55%39.11%39.22%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 33.61%2.97fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.12%33.59%33.65%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.40%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.14%31.05%31.04%32.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.942.953.1038.46%34.02%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 35.33%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 33.61%; Draw: 31.06%. For Asteras Tripolis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -2.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.90%EV -2.49%E -0.901%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -4.87%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -2.52%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -2.52%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -2.52%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -5.31%E -1.98%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.92%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.26%EV -8.85%E -3.43%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.06%EV -4.87%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.74%EV -10.87%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.92%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 14:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.67%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.04%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -11.67%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.67%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -16.15%E -5.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.81%EV -11.59%E -4.41%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -16.15%E -5.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -14.15%E -5.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.94%EV -14.50%E -5.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.75%EV -8.23%E -3.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 14:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.85%EV -15.21%E -6.34%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.06%EV -13.98%E -5.05%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.43%EV -16.27%E -6.86%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.62%EV -12.42%E -4.41%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-21 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.39%EV -16.97%E -7.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.62%EV -14.28%E -5.60%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.99%EV -19.26%E -7.41%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.18% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |