La escuela de los momios

Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Predicción 35.33%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.901%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%35.36%35.31%37.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.552.7642.55%39.11%39.22%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atromitos Athens (Visitante)

Predicción 33.61%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.12%33.59%33.65%34.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.40%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.06%3.22momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.14%31.05%31.04%32.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.942.953.1038.46%34.02%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.90%EV -2.49%E -0.901%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -4.87%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -2.52%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:40
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -2.52%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -2.52%E -0.869%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Suprabets2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -5.31%E -1.98%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:41
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:46
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:46
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.92%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:50
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:40
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.26%EV -8.85%E -3.43%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.06%EV -4.87%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:53
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.74%EV -10.87%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.24%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.92%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -9.91%E -3.89%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 14:46
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.67%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -7.56%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.04%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -11.67%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-21 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.67%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -16.15%E -5.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -12.38%E -4.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.20%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -13.44%E -5.49%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.81%EV -11.59%E -4.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -16.15%E -5.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -14.15%E -5.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -5.88%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.94%EV -14.50%E -5.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.75%EV -8.23%E -3.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 14:44
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.85%EV -15.21%E -6.34%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.60%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.06%EV -13.98%E -5.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.43%EV -16.27%E -6.86%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.95%EV -11.93%E -4.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.62%EV -12.42%E -4.41%K -6.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-21 14:49
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.39%EV -16.97%E -7.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.62%EV -14.28%E -5.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.99%EV -19.26%E -7.41%K -12.04%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%1.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%1.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%1.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%2.2%2026-02-21 14:55