Language:English
Asteras Tripolis v AEK Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 13.11%7.62fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.252%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.36%13.16%13.13%15.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.907.007.5017.39%14.49%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEK Athens (Visit)
Prediction 65.71%1.52fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -12.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.85%65.68%65.64%66.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.401.401.4476.34%71.44%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.17%4.72fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%21.16%21.23%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.284.304.6026.67%23.36%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 13.11%; AEK Athens (Visit): 65.71%; Draw: 21.17%. For Asteras Tripolis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.50, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -2.61%E -0.568%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 15:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 15:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.79%EV -1.90%E -0.254%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -2.61%E -0.568%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.46I 13.40%NM 12.55%EV -2.16%E -0.290%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -11.50%E -2.75%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.95%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.95%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -4.26%E -0.584%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.00%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -5.57%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.63%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -6.88%E -0.970%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.51%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.02%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.82%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.20%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.56%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.56%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.56%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.90%EV -12.60%E -9.47%K -38.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -12.14%E -2.92%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 15:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -13.20%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.44%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.72%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 65.40%EV -13.91%E -10.62%K -44.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-13 15:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.43%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.09%EV -13.26%E -10.04%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -18.03%E -2.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.86%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.06%EV -24.59%E -4.28%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.85%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -20.61%E -5.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.88% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.42% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 15:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |