Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Asteras Tripolis v AEK Athens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 16:00 UTC

Score final : Asteras Tripolis 1–1 AEK Athens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prévision 13.11%7.62cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.219%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.36%13.16%13.13%15.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.907.007.5017.39%14.49%14.29%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AEK Athens (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.71%1.52cote équitable
EV -5.37%
Avantage -3.73%
Kelly -12.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.85%65.68%65.64%66.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.311.401.401.4476.34%71.44%71.43%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.17%4.72cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.568%
Kelly -0.725%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.38%21.16%21.23%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.284.304.6026.67%23.36%23.26%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Asteras Tripolis (Local) : 13.11% ; AEK Athens (Visiteur) : 65.71% ; Match nul : 21.17%. Pour Asteras Tripolis (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 7.50, pour une espérance de -1.64% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -2.61%E -0.568%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:41
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:54
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.64%E -0.219%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:51
Pinnacle🎯7.48I 13.37%NM 12.79%EV -1.90%E -0.254%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -2.61%E -0.568%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 15:50
1xBet🎯7.46I 13.40%NM 12.55%EV -2.16%E -0.290%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.04%EV -5.37%E -3.73%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.41%EV -11.50%E -2.75%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.95%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -2.95%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.49%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:55
Suprabets🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -4.26%E -0.584%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.00%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 15:50
Betsson🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -5.57%E -0.774%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.63%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 15:45
NordicBet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -6.88%E -0.970%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.51%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 15:45
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 15:40
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:16
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:16
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:11
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:16
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:11
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:16
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:11
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:15
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 15:45
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:41
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 15:55
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.33%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:50
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:45
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:45
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -7.34%E -5.21%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:55
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.02%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 15:50
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.20%E -1.17%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.82%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.20%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.56%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.56%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 15:16
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.56%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -11.48%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.90%EV -12.60%E -9.47%K -38.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -12.14%E -2.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 15:44
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.73%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:46
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.85%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 15:45
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:40
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -13.20%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 15:45
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 15:45
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -10.63%E -7.82%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.44%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.72%EV -11.29%E -8.36%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.18%EV -14.75%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.40%EV -13.91%E -10.62%K -44.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-13 15:46
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.43%EV -16.07%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.09%EV -13.26%E -10.04%K -41.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 15:11
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -18.03%E -2.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.86%EV -9.31%E -6.75%K -24.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 15:45
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.06%EV -24.59%E -4.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.85%EV -8.00%E -5.71%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -20.61%E -5.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-13 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-09-13 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-09-13 15:55
Kalshi◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.88%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%1.0%2026-09-13 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.0%2026-09-13 15:56
Smarkets◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-09-13 15:55