A Escola das Odds

Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC

Início: 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Final: Aris Thessaloniki 3–2 Volos FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Previsão 57.55%1.74odd justa
EV -5.04%
Vantagem -3.06%
Kelly -7.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.41%57.62%57.64%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.601.601.6567.57%62.58%62.50%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Volos FC (Visitante)

Previsão 16.84%5.94odd justa
EV +4.77%
Vantagem +0.767%
Kelly +0.914%
Crescimento +0.044%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.41%16.81%16.74%18.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.805.355.306.2220.83%18.69%18.87%16.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.61%3.91odd justa
EV -0.139%
Vantagem -0.036%
Kelly -0.048%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.01%25.57%25.62%27.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.553.603.9031.25%28.13%27.78%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.41%EV +4.77%E +0.767%K +0.914%G +0.044%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.77%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 15:55
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:18
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.44%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -0.619%E -0.105%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:19
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.15%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -3.15%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:50
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.45%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.54%EV -4.66%E -0.824%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:55
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:55
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:48
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 15:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:19
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:54
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:55
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -0.139%E -0.036%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:49
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 15:55
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.95%E -7.81%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.66%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.47%EV -14.83%E -10.02%K -30.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.36%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.17%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.09%E -2.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 15:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -18.06%E -5.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 15:45
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.96%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.37%E -7.38%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -17.46%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 15:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-04-18 15:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%2.3%2026-04-18 15:55