L’École des cotes

Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Score final : Aris Thessaloniki 3–2 Volos FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 57.55%1.74cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -3.06%
Kelly -7.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.41%57.62%57.64%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.601.6567.57%62.58%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Volos FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.84%5.94cote équitable
EV +4.77%
Avantage +0.767%
Kelly +0.914%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 6.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.41%16.81%16.74%18.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.355.306.2220.83%18.69%18.87%16.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.61%3.91cote équitable
EV -0.139%
Avantage -0.036%
Kelly -0.048%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.01%25.57%25.62%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.553.603.9031.25%28.13%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.41%EV +4.77%E +0.767%K +0.914%G +0.044%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.77%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 15:55
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:18
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.44%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -0.619%E -0.105%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:19
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.15%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -3.15%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:50
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.45%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.54%EV -4.66%E -0.824%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:55
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:55
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:48
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 15:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:19
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:54
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:55
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -0.139%E -0.036%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:49
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 15:55
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.95%E -7.81%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.66%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.47%EV -14.83%E -10.02%K -30.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.36%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.17%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.09%E -2.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 15:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -18.06%E -5.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 15:45
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.96%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.37%E -7.38%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -17.46%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 15:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-04-18 15:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%2.3%2026-04-18 15:55