La escuela de los momios

Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC

Inicio: 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Final: Aris Thessaloniki 3–2 Volos FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Predicción 57.55%1.74momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -3.06%
Kelly -7.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.41%57.62%57.64%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.601.6567.57%62.58%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Volos FC (Visitante)

Predicción 16.84%5.94momio equitativo
EV +4.77%
Ventaja +0.767%
Kelly +0.914%
Crecimiento +0.044%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.41%16.81%16.74%18.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.355.306.2220.83%18.69%18.87%16.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.61%3.91momio equitativo
EV -0.139%
Ventaja -0.036%
Kelly -0.048%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.01%25.57%25.62%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.553.603.9031.25%28.13%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.41%EV +4.77%E +0.767%K +0.914%G +0.044%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.77%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 15:55
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -8.59%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:18
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.07%E +0.178%K +0.213%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.44%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -0.619%E -0.105%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:19
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.15%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -3.15%E -0.547%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:50
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.45%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.54%EV -4.66%E -0.824%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:55
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:55
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -6.19%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.67%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:48
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 15:24
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:25
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:19
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:54
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.04%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:55
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -0.139%E -0.036%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:49
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 15:55
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.95%E -7.81%K -22.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.66%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.47%EV -14.83%E -10.02%K -30.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.36%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.17%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.09%E -2.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 15:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.63%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -18.06%E -5.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 15:45
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.96%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.37%E -7.38%K -21.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -17.46%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 15:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -19.15%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-18 15:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-04-18 15:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%2.3%2026-04-18 15:55