L’École des cotes

Aris Thessaloniki v Atromitos Athens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 48.80%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.68%48.70%48.88%50.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.891.911.9758.82%52.96%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atromitos Athens (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV +0.416%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.01%21.46%21.29%23.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.174.104.7026.67%23.99%24.39%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.83%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -0.675%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.41%29.84%29.83%31.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.073.103.3036.36%32.61%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV +0.416%E +0.089%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.52%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 14:50
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV +0.416%E +0.089%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.52%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 14:50
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.53%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -6.62%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.69%E -5.84%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -1.72%E -0.374%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.55%E -0.470%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:32
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Suprabets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.83%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.63%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:13
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:44
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:44
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -9.23%E -4.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.72%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:55
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:50
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:50
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.20%E -5.55%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:50
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -7.76%E -4.11%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:19
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:19
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:19
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:19
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -7.76%E -4.11%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.67%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -11.99%E -4.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:50
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 48.94%EV -17.04%E -10.02%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.80%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.26%EV -17.96%E -6.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.15%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -12.16%E -6.75%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.68%EV -13.62%E -7.70%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.81%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.51%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -12.16%E -6.75%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.95%EV -14.08%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.54%EV -13.62%E -7.70%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.43%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -18.81%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -10.69%E -5.84%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -19.88%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.98%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.02%0.0%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.46%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13%2.1%2026-03-07 14:55