La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aris Thessaloniki v Atromitos Athens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 48.80%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.68%48.70%48.88%50.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.891.911.9758.82%52.96%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atromitos Athens (Visitante)
Predicción 21.37%4.68momio equitativo
EV +0.416%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.01%21.46%21.29%23.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.104.7026.67%23.99%24.39%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.470%
Kelly -0.675%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%29.84%29.83%31.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.073.103.3036.36%32.61%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV +0.416%E +0.089%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.52%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV +0.416%E +0.089%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.52%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.53%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.70%EV -6.62%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.69%E -5.84%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -1.72%E -0.374%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.05%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -1.55%E -0.470%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:32 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Suprabets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.83%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.63%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -9.23%E -4.96%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.72%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -4.83%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 14:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.20%E -5.55%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -7.76%E -4.11%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -7.76%E -4.11%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.67%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.59%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -11.99%E -4.07%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.94%EV -17.04%E -10.02%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.80%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.26%EV -17.96%E -6.53%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.15%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.88%EV -12.16%E -6.75%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.68%EV -13.62%E -7.70%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.81%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.51%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -12.16%E -6.75%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.95%EV -14.08%E -4.89%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.54%EV -13.62%E -7.70%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.43%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -18.81%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -10.69%E -5.84%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -19.88%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.98% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.99% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.02% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.46% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |