Language:English
Aris Thessaloniki v AE Kifisia FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 52.64%1.90fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.99%52.68%52.58%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.741.751.8363.29%57.40%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AE Kifisia FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.01%5.00fair odd
EV +4.04%
Edge +0.776%
Kelly +0.961%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.07%19.87%20.09%21.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.584.505.2024.39%21.83%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.36%3.66fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -0.910%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.14%27.45%27.33%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5733.33%30.18%30.30%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 52.64%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 20.01%; Draw: 27.36%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.30%EV -8.94%E -5.17%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV +4.04%E +0.776%K +0.961%G +0.039% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.49%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +2.04%E +0.399%K +0.497%G +0.010% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.99%E -5.84%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +2.04%E +0.399%K +0.497%G +0.010% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV +0.036%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.50%EV -9.18%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV +0.036%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.50%EV -9.18%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.83%E -3.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV +0.036%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 16:42 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.36%E -4.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.96%E -0.401%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -1.96%E -0.401%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.36%E -4.18%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.697%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.92%EV -8.90%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.97%E -0.826%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 16:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.47%E -5.50%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -5.77%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -2.34%E -0.655%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.83%E -3.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -5.97%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -6.31%E -3.54%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 10:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -12.10%E -7.24%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -10.97%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -7.54%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.97%EV -14.20%E -8.71%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.62%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-22 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.03%EV -16.83%E -10.65%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.04%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -17.93%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-22 16:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.47%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.48%EV -12.10%E -7.24%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.86%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -17.93%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-21 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.55%EV -13.68%E -8.34%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.11%EV -11.57%E -6.89%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -17.97%E -4.38%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-22 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.81% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |